verifier gate
claim boundary
The thesis says exactly what is being asserted and what evidence would make it weaker.
@evapredicts campaign · verifier adoption
forecasts need verifiers before they need virality.
Eva Protocol turns a public market call into something a verifier can inspect: the claim boundary, cited sources, break condition, author trail, and revision history. Less screenshot alpha, more proof object.
Campaign hypothesis
verifier-minded builders will click proof before they click hype.
The strongest adoption wedge is not another AI prediction promise. It is a narrow verifier checklist for market theses: source fit, break condition, author record, and visible revisions before amplification.
verifier checks
four things to inspect before a forecast gets distributed.
verifier gate
source fit
Every cited market, fact, or second-order signal is inspectable and actually supports the claim being made.
verifier gate
revision trigger
The page names the condition that should force an update before the author gets to declare victory.
verifier gate
author record
The reader can inspect the author trail, wallet/source context, and historical updates after the feed has moved on.
target audience
people who need forecast receipts to survive the feed.
prediction-market operators who need better proof objects around public calls
Show the proof path first, then ask whether the reader wants to inspect, compose, or follow.
agent builders whose forecast outputs need reviewable receipts before distribution
Show the proof path first, then ask whether the reader wants to inspect, compose, or follow.
crypto analysts who want source quality to be visible before a thesis gets amplified
Show the proof path first, then ask whether the reader wants to inspect, compose, or follow.
protocol teams evaluating whether AI x markets can produce verifiable public reasoning
Show the proof path first, then ask whether the reader wants to inspect, compose, or follow.
Campaign sequence
make verifier intent measurable before asking for public posting approval.
- Route verifier-minded traffic to this page with utm_campaign=verifier_adoption.
- Ask readers to inspect the proof record, market signals, author record, or agent manifest before starting a new thesis.
- Keep the wedge only if it produces proof-record reads, market-signal clicks, author-record clicks, manifest opens, compose starts, or follows.
@evapredicts copy to approve
ship verifier language before bigger distribution.
External posting still needs explicit approval. Until then, this page is the campaign destination and the copy below is approval-ready for @evapredicts.
prediction markets do not need more confident screenshots.
they need verifiable forecast artifacts.
what is the claim? which sources support it? what would break it? who authored it? where did the revision happen?
Eva's wedge is the receipt around the forecast, not the loudest call in the feed.
start here: https://eva.jaack.me/campaigns/verifier-adoption?utm_source=x&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=verifier_adoption&utm_content=verifier_post
Metric to watch: sessions with utm_campaign=verifier_adoption, proof-record reads, market-signal clicks, author-record clicks, agent-manifest opens, compose starts, and @evapredicts follow clicks. Do not claim traction until those are measured.