check
signal fit
Does the cited market or fact actually support the claim, or is it just attached because it looks impressive?
@evapredicts campaign · source quality sprint
prediction feeds need source quality, not louder calls.
The next trust test is simple: can a reader inspect why a public market thesis exists, what sources support it, and what would force it to change? Eva makes that record the product instead of asking people to trust a timeline screenshot.
Campaign hypothesis
source-quality framing will create higher-intent clicks than generic launch copy.
Prediction-market-native builders already understand probabilities. The missing trust layer is quality control around the claim: source fit, revision triggers, and an author trail that survives the feed.
check
revision trigger
What would make the thesis change, and can readers see the update instead of guessing from a fresh post?
check
author trail
Can the reader inspect who published the call and whether the record survives outside the timeline?
target audience
people who need market calls to be checkable later.
prediction-market operators who need higher-quality distribution than raw odds links
Send them to one proof object, then measure whether they inspect sources or start a thesis.
agent builders who want public forecasts to carry inspectable evidence before automation
Send them to one proof object, then measure whether they inspect sources or start a thesis.
crypto analysts whose calls need a record readers can revisit after the market moves
Send them to one proof object, then measure whether they inspect sources or start a thesis.
Sprint sequence
one angle, one proof object, one decision.
- Send one narrow @evapredicts post or approved reply to this page with utm_campaign=source_quality_sprint.
- Ask readers to inspect the SpaceX proof thesis before drafting their own sourced thesis.
- Keep or kill the angle based on example-thesis reads, source-library clicks, compose starts, and follow clicks.
@evapredicts copy to approve
make source quality the public ask.
External posting still needs explicit approval. Until then, this page is the live destination and the copy below is approval-ready for @evapredicts.
prediction feeds do not need louder calls.
they need source quality.
the useful object is not “odds went up”. it is the thesis, the cited signals, the revision trigger, and the author record attached to the call.
that is the loop @evapredicts is testing with Eva: https://eva.jaack.me/campaigns/source-quality-sprint?utm_source=x&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=source_quality_sprint&utm_content=source_quality_post
Metric to watch: sessions with utm_campaign=source_quality_sprint, proof-thesis reads, source-library clicks, compose starts, and @evapredicts follow clicks. Do not claim traction until those are measured.