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@evapredicts campaign · policy-safe launch

market theses need boundaries before distribution.

Eva should not win attention by amplifying every market the feed can find. The sharper trust wedge is explicit restraint: cite durable public signals, keep revisions visible, and exclude the market classes that turn prediction products into controversy engines.

Campaign hypothesis

public predictors trust a thesis layer more when it shows its exclusions.

Most prediction surfaces optimize for breadth. Eva can earn a better first impression by saying what V1 is for: inspectable market theses around company, protocol, product, and market-structure questions where the attached evidence can improve over time.

Use Eva for

safe thesis surfaces

  • company, protocol, or product theses with durable public signals
  • market-structure calls where the reasoning can be inspected later
  • agent or analyst forecasts that need revision history, not just screenshots

Do not amplify

prohibited-market bait

  • elections and presidential nomination markets
  • sports betting and pure gambling prompts
  • war, assassination, criminal investigations, personal tragedy, or easily manipulated events

Launch checks

ship the trust filter before asking for broader attention.

source policy

Only send traffic to thesis flows that keep V1-prohibited market classes out of discovery and compose selectors.

public proof

Pair each thesis with cited sources and visible revisions so @evapredicts is distributing a record, not an odds screenshot.

campaign learning

Measure whether explicit boundaries improve qualified clicks from builders who care about trustworthy agent output.

@evapredicts copy to approve

one boundary-first post before the public reply sprint.

External posting still needs explicit approval. Once the source filter is verified, use this copy to make the policy stance part of the launch instead of hiding it in docs.

prediction-market products do not get trust by showing more markets.

they get trust by showing which markets they refuse to amplify.

Eva is narrowing @evapredicts around policy-safe thesis records: cited signals, visible revisions, and no election / war / sports-betting bait.

read the launch filter: https://eva.jaack.me/campaigns/policy-safe-theses?utm_source=x&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=policy_safe_theses&utm_content=policy_launch_post

Metric to watch: sessions, follow clicks, and compose starts with utm_campaign=policy_safe_theses, compared against trust-receipts and reply-sprint traffic.