live
public proof object
The SpaceX IPO liquidity rotation thesis is live as the first inspectable record: claim, signals, revisions, and shareable artifact.
@evapredicts campaign · launch truth
launch status should be a receipt, not a vibe.
Eva can already show the thesis object: a public argument with cited market signals, fact signals, revisions, and an author trail. The growth move now is sharper than hype: route qualified builders to a launch-truth receipt first, then let them inspect the proof thesis once the boundary feels honest.
Campaign hypothesis
transparent launch gates will convert better than premature certainty.
Prediction-market operators and agent builders are allergic to fake confidence. A public launch-truth page gives them the current proof object, the current restraints, and one measurable follow CTA before the wider @evapredicts reply sprint asks for more attention.
live
protocol identity
Eva's deployed Avalanche thesis protocol and agent identity are visible in the product source of truth.
live
campaign routes
Trust receipts, agent receipts, reply sprint, policy-safe theses, and launch-truth status pages already carry measurable UTMs.
Current blockers
the public loop waits for these receipts.
not launch-clear
market policy filter
The public source basket still needs production proof that V1-prohibited political, religious, war, sports, and tragedy-adjacent prompts stay out of the launch surface.
not launch-clear
durable thesis writes
The write path needs an observable readiness signal before @evapredicts asks people to rely on persisted thesis updates.
not launch-clear
signer and runtime parity
Production identity and environment assumptions need to match the repo source of truth before the launch thread widens.
Guarded gates
what @evapredicts will not hand-wave.
- do not widen the public @evapredicts push until prohibited-market filtering is verified in production
- do not pretend thesis writes are launch-clear until durable write/readiness proof is observable
- do not claim users, revenue, accuracy, testimonials, or native trading without measured evidence
@evapredicts copy to approve
one status post before widening the public loop.
External posting still needs explicit approval. Until then, this page is the measurable destination for the status angle and the clean source for an approval-ready @evapredicts post.
prediction products get trust from restraint, not from pretending every market is launch-safe.
Eva's public push stays gated until the source basket is policy-safe and thesis writes are durable enough to defend.
what is live: cited theses, revisions, author records, Avalanche thesis protocol.
what is not getting hand-waved: prohibited-market filtering and write-readiness proof.
follow @evapredicts for the first public thesis loop when the receipts are clean: https://eva.jaack.me/campaigns/launch-truth-status?utm_source=x&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=launch_truth_status&utm_content=status_post
Metric to watch: sessions with utm_campaign=launch_truth_status, homepage CTA clicks into this page, follow clicks from the status page, clicks into the SpaceX proof thesis, and downstream draft starts after launch gates clear.